Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.313324 0.420416 0.538676 0.676726 0.831463 0.997840 1.188641
2025-04-27 0.183358 0.324735 0.500432 0.723590 0.990425 1.291997 1.652108
2025-05-04 0.133889 0.292869 0.507091 0.793065 1.146961 1.556851 2.055557
2025-05-11 0.091402 0.255846 0.497273 0.835054 1.265848 1.775125 2.404180
2025-05-18 0.054725 0.212388 0.468424 0.844514 1.338361 1.933353 2.678319
2025-05-25 0.020616 0.151604 0.401639 0.794001 1.328378 1.986936 2.824528
2025-06-01 0.003456 0.101934 0.338871 0.739627 1.306378 2.020461 2.942236
2025-06-08 NaN 0.072728 0.302140 0.717021 1.321987 2.097398 3.109572
2025-06-15 NaN 0.059654 0.292556 0.733530 1.389226 2.238586 3.354785
2025-06-22 NaN 0.042942 0.269168 0.725011 1.419811 2.331601 3.539645
2025-06-29 NaN 0.027489 0.240988 0.704836 1.431595 2.398736 3.691165
2025-07-06 NaN 0.024517 0.246221 0.741361 1.524546 2.571679 3.974991
2025-07-13 NaN 0.021319 0.251203 0.780490 1.626214 2.762565 4.289986
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019407 0.260194 0.827555 1.740906 2.972546 4.631618
2025-07-27 NaN 0.021596 0.284743 0.902986 1.897322 3.237570 5.042461
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019575 0.292520 0.947641 2.008422 3.442850 5.378294
2025-08-10 NaN 0.013868 0.282165 0.957826 2.067927 3.579405 5.627127
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004574 0.240030 0.903775 2.029000 3.583199 5.706483
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000317 0.199132 0.845500 1.979893 3.570764 5.763102
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.176729 0.821229 1.980856 3.624312 5.902525
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.173893 0.838956 2.047704 3.767932 6.158093
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.159874 0.829810 2.071000 3.851207 6.335337
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.141654 0.808137 2.072864 3.904089 6.472612